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Reflections: Growing and Learning in Guatemala
                                    As a woman, mother and sociologist who is curious about the patterns of our political past in Guatemala, I feel privileged to know and work with the HRDAG team. Collaborating and learning from people like Patrick, Megan, Suzanne, Beatriz and Tamy has been an invaluable gift. I have discovered many things, both human and academic. For example, I’ve learned new ways of seeing what seemed everyday and simple, to discover that not only do the social sciences and statistics work hand in hand, but that they are critical for understanding Guatemala’s reality.
Twenty years ago, on 29 December, 1996, Guatemala made history by signing the Guatemala Peace ...                                                                                                        
                             Featured Video
                                    Kristian Lum, lead statistician at HRDAG | Predictive Policing: Bias In, Bias Out | 56 mins                                                                                                        
                             Learning to Learn: Reflections on My Time at HRDAG
                                    So much of what I learned at HRDAG was intangible, and I'm grateful to have been able to go deep.                                                                                                        
                             Transitional Justice in Syria: Accountability and Reconciliation Conference
                                    
I spent last weekend in Istanbul at an excellent conference organized by the Syrian Center for Political and Strategic Studies (SCPSS). The conference included numerous non-governmental organizations (NGOs) from Syria as well as international human rights researchers and advocates. Families of victims told their stories, data collection groups discussed the challenges, and need, to document violations, transitional justice experts worried about infrastructure such as the police force and judicial system, and local leaders pledged to work together for peace.
I was invited to speak about HRDAG's recent report examining killings in Syria documented by ...                                                                                                        
                             Welcoming Our New Data Scientist
                                    We're thrilled to announce that Tarak Shah has joined our team as our new data scientist.                                                                                                         
                             HRDAG Retreat 2014
                                    
Ten data nerds gathered in a large hilltop beach house to analyze counts of killings from several war-torn countries. The time was January 16-20, 2014, the place was near San Francisco, the agenda was packed, and I was excited to be there.
Having defended my dissertation at Carnegie Mellon University just days before, I had often supposed that my thesis on a generalization of
log-linear models for capture-recapture might serve little other purpose than to fill a line on my curriculum vitae. This perception faded after a mid-2013 discussion with Patrick convinced me that HRDAG's data challenges could easily be the best match to my research ...                                                                                                        
                             Uncertainty in COVID Fatality Rates
                                    In this Granta article, HRDAG explains that neither the infectiousness nor the deadliness of the disease is set in stone.                                                                                                         
                             Rapid response: Civilian deaths from weapons used in the Syrian conflict
Megan Price, Anita Gohdes, Jay D. Aronson, and Christopher McNaboe. 2015. BMJ (29 September): 351. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmj.h4736. © The BMJ Publishing Group Ltd. All rights reserved. Open access.
Estimating Undocumented Homicides with Two Lists and List Dependence
Kristian Lum and Patrick Ball. 2015. Human Rights Data Analysis Group (April 2). © 2015 HRDAG.Creative Commons BY-NC-SA.
Welcoming Our 2019 Human Rights Intern
                                    Trina Reynolds-Tyler is HRDAG's 2019 Human Rights Intern.                                                                                                        
                             New publication in BIOMETRIKA
                                    New paper in Biometrika, co-authored by HRDAG's Kristian Lum and James Johndrow: Theoretical limits of microclustering in record linkage.                                                                                                        
                             Overbooking’s Impact on Pre-Trial Risk Assessment Tools
                                    How do police officer booking decisions affect tools relied upon by judges?                                                                                                         
                             HRDAG Names New Board Members Julie Broome and Frank Schulenburg
                                    We are pleased to announce that HRDAG will be supported by two additions to our Advisory Board, Julie Broome and Frank Schulenburg.
We’ve worked with Julie for many years, getting to know her when she was Director of Programmes at The Sigrid Rausing Trust. She is now the Director of London-based Ariadne, a network of European funders and philanthropists. She worked at the Trust for seven years, most notably Head of Human Rights, before becoming Director of Programmes in 2014. Before joining the Trust she was Programme Director at the CEELI Institute in Prague, where she was responsible for conducting rule of law-related trainings for judges and ...                                                                                                        
                             A geeky deep-dive: database deduplication to identify victims of human rights violations
                                    In our work, we merge many databases to figure out how many people have been killed in violent conflict. Merging is a lot harder than you might think.
Many of the database records refer to the same people--the records are duplicated. We want to identify and link all the records that refer to the same victims so that each victim is counted only once, and so that we can use the structure of overlapping records to do multiple systems estimation.
Merging records that refer to the same person is called entity resolution, database deduplication, or record linkage. For definitive overviews of the field, see Scheuren, Herzog, and Winkler, Data Quality ...                                                                                                        
                             HRDAG and AHPN Launch Book Detailing Collaboration
                                    Earlier this month, HRDAG and the Historic Archive of the National Police (AHPN) of Guatemala launched a book that represents a long-time collaboration between the two organizations. The book, “Una mirada al AHPN a partir de un studio de cuantitativo,” is, as the title states, a look at the Archive’s datasets via a quantitative study. Book authors are HRDAG executive director Megan Price and AHPN colleague Carolina López, with translations by Beatriz Vejarano. The book is available in Spanish and forthcoming in English.
The book explains how HRDAG and the Archive worked together over a decade to gain insight into the police activities that ...                                                                                                        
                             Even if there’s a ceasefire, thousands of deaths projected in Gaza over next 6 months
In this NPR story, HRDAG’s Patrick Ball comments on first-of-its-kind projections.
