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Estimating Deaths


How statistics lifts the fog of war in Syria

Megan Price, director of research, is quoted from her Strata talk, regarding how to handle multiple data sources in conflicts such as the one in Syria. From the blogpost:
“The true number of casualties in conflicts like the Syrian war seems unknowable, but the mission of the Human Rights Data Analysis Group (HRDAG) is to make sense of such information, clouded as it is by the fog of war. They do this not by nominating one source of information as the “best”, but instead with statistical modeling of the differences between sources.”


Benetech Statistical Expert Testifies in Guatemala Disappearance Case


Death and the Mainframe: How data analysis can help document human rights atrocities


Death March

A mapped representation of the scale and spread of killings in Syria. HRDAG’s director of research, Megan Price, is quoted.


La misión de contar muertos


Guatemalan Ex-Cops Get 40 Years for Labor Leader’s Slaying


Guilty Verdict and 40 year Maximum Sentence in Edgar Fernando Garcia Case


Syrian Death Toll Reaches 60,000, Says UN Rights Agency


Analyze This!


Speaking Stats to Justice: Expert Testimony in a Guatemalan Human Rights Trial Based on Statistical Sampling


The Body Counter


A Human Rights Statistician Finds Truth In Numbers

The tension started in the witness room. “You could feel the stress rolling off the walls in there,” Patrick Ball remembers. “I can remember realizing that this is why lawyers wear sport coats – you can’t see all the sweat on their arms and back.” He was, you could say, a little nervous to be cross-examined by Slobodan Milosevic.


United Nations Issues Report on Deaths in Syria


The Panic Button: High-Tech Protection for Human Rights Investigators


Patrick Ball on the Perils of Misusing Human Rights Data


Data Dive Reveals 15,000 New Victims of Syria War


60,000 Dead in Syria? Why the Death Toll is Likely Even Higher


Carnegie Mellon Partners With Human Rights Data Analysis Group To Improve Syrian Casualty Reporting


Benetech Statistical Analysis Provides Key Evidence in Conviction of Former Guatemalan Police Officers Testimony From Daniel Guzmán Helps Establish Legal Precedent for Prosecution of Forced Disappearances


Our work has been used by truth commissions, international criminal tribunals, and non-governmental human rights organizations. We have worked with partners on projects on five continents.

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