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PRIO 2023 Shortlist for Nobel Peace Prize
In a CNN interview predicting a Nobel Peace Prize winner, Henrik Urdal from PRIO talks about his shortlist and HRDAG.
New Report Raises Questions Over CPD’s Approach to Missing Persons Cases
In this video, Trina Reynolds-Tyler of Invisible Institute talks about her work with HRDAG on the missing persons project in Chicago and Beneath the Surface.
Preserving human rights data with the Filecoin Network: A journey into the Decentralized Web with HRDAG
At the core of HRDAG’s work are the datasets it gathers, tidies, and uses for estimation and analysis. The data includes evidence of homicides, disappearances, kidnappings, recruitment of child soldiers, and forced displacement. These are some of the most traumatic events that could happen to anyone, and proof of these events is crucial –– so that societies remember the suffering of the past in order not to repeat it in the future. By remembering, we help to validate the experiences of the survivors, enable social recovery, and provide evidence with which to hold the perpetrators accountable. It is therefore essential to preserve and protect this information.
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license
Patrick Ball (2024). Preserving Human Rights Data with the Filecoin Network: A Journey into the Decentralized Web with HRDAG. Filecoin Foundation. 18 April, 2024. © 2025 Filecoin Foundation for the Decentralized Web.
Deaths in custody during the armed conflict in Syria, 2011–2023
HRDAG
A key question of interest for the United Nations Commission of Inquiry on the Syrian Arab Republic is how many victims of the ongoing conflict were killed while in custody? Through our long collaboration with both the UN and multiple Syrian documentation groups, our team of data scientists at the Human Rights Data Analysis Group (HRDAG) have access to documented records of victims killed, under a variety of circumstances, in the Syrian Arab Republic between 2011 and 2023. This report is based on records collected by eight sources documenting deaths in the ongoing armed conflict in Syria.
Creative Commons International license 4.0.
Maria Gargiulo, Tarak Shah, Megan Price (2024). Deaths in Custody during the Armed Conflict in Syria, 2011–2023. Human Rights Data Analysis Group. 10 December, 2024. © 2024 HRDAG.
The killings of social movement leaders and human rights defenders in Colombia 2018 – 2023: an estimate of the universe.
HRDAG + Dejusticia
In 2018, Dejusticia and HRDAG published our first report estimating the total number of social leaders killed in Colombia during 2016-2017. Additionally, we demonstrated that a statistical method known as “capture-recapture” could be used to estimate the underreporting of murdered social leaders. Moreover, our estimate closely matched the total documented by the organizations collectively. A year later, we released a second report, updating the data to include 2018. Five years later, we revisited this exercise to cover the period from 2019 to 2023, focusing on three of the original six organizations.
Creative Commons International license 4.0.
Valentina Rozo Ángel and Patrick Ball (2024). Asesinatos de líderes sociales y defensores de derechos en Colombia: en estimación del universo actualización 2019 – 2023. Human Rights Data Analysis Group. 18 December 2024. © HRDAG 2024.
Tallying Syria’s War Dead
“Led by the nonprofit Human Rights Data Analysis Group (HRDAG), the process began with creating a merged dataset of “fully identified victims” to avoid double counting. Only casualties whose complete details were listed — such as their full name, date of death and the governorate they had been killed in — were included on this initial list, explained Megan Price, executive director at HRDAG. If details were missing, the victim could not be confidently cross-checked across the eight organizations’ lists, and so was excluded. This provided HRDAG and the U.N. with a minimum count of individuals whose deaths were fully documented by at least one of the different organizations. … “
Undercover Minnesota officers suing oversight board have public LinkedIns, discipline and shootings
“In January, Invisible Institute released the data on a tool called the National Police Index, which houses data from over two dozen of POST’s peer agencies around the country. Developed by Invisible Institute, Human Rights Data Analysis Group, and Innocence & Justice Louisiana, the NPI seeks employment history data from state POST agencies to track, among other questions, the issue of so-called “wandering cops” who move from department to department after committing misconduct.”
South Africa
Press Release, Timor-Leste, November 2006
Truth and Reconciliation Commission of Perú, Final Report – General Conclusions.
Truth and Reconciliation Commission of Perú, Final Report – General Conclusions. Comisión de la verdad y reconciliación, 2003.
Foundation of Human Rights Statistics in Sierra Leone
Richard Conibere (2004). Foundation of Human Rights Statistics in Sierra Leone (abstr.), Joint Statistical Meetings. Toronto, Canada.
The Demography of Conflict-Related Mortality in Timor-Leste (1974-1999): Empirical Quantitative Measurement of Civilian Killings, Disappearances & Famine-Related Deaths
Romesh Silva and Patrick Ball. “The Demography of Conflict-Related Mortality in Timor-Leste (1974-1999): Empirical Quantitative Measurement of Civilian Killings, Disappearances & Famine-Related Deaths” In Statistical Methods for Human Rights, J. Asher, D. Banks and F. Scheuren, eds., Springer (New York) (2007)
Measuring Elusive Populations with Bayesian Model Averaging for Multiple Systems Estimation: A Case Study on Lethal Violations in Casanare, 1998-2007
Kristian Lum, Megan Price, Tamy Guberek, and Patrick Ball. “Measuring Elusive Populations with Bayesian Model Averaging for Multiple Systems Estimation: A Case Study on Lethal Violations in Casanare, 1998-2007,” Statistics, Politics, and Policy. 1(1) 2010. All rights reserved.
When It Comes to Human Rights, There Are No Online Security Shortcuts
Patrick Ball. When It Comes to Human Rights, There Are No Online Security Shortcuts, Wired op-ed, August 10, 2012. Wired.com © 2013 Condé Nast. All rights reserved.
Applications of Multiple Systems Estimation in Human Rights Research
Lum, Kristian, Megan Emily Price, and David Banks. 2013. The American Statistician 67, no. 4: 191-200. doi: 10.1080/00031305.2013.821093. © 2013 The American Statistician. All rights reserved. [free eprint may be available].
Cuentas y mediciones de la criminalidad y de la violencia
Exploración y análisis de los datas para comprender la realidad. Patrick Ball y Michael Reed Hurtado. 2015. Forensis 16, no. 1 (July): 529-545. © 2015 Instituto Nacional de Medicina Legal y Ciencias Forenses (República de Colombia).
Rapid response: Civilian deaths from weapons used in the Syrian conflict
Megan Price, Anita Gohdes, Jay D. Aronson, and Christopher McNaboe. 2015. BMJ (29 September): 351. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmj.h4736. © The BMJ Publishing Group Ltd. All rights reserved. Open access.
Truth Commissioner
From the Guatemalan military to the South African apartheid police, code cruncher Patrick Ball singles out the perpetrators of political violence.