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60,000 Dead in Syria? Why the Death Toll is Likely Even Higher


Benetech Scientists Publish Analysis of Indirect Sampling Methods in the Journal of the American Medical Association


Data Analysis By Benetech Scientists Aid in Arrest of Former Guatemalan Police Chief


The Panic Button: High-Tech Protection for Human Rights Investigators


Patrick Ball on the Perils of Misusing Human Rights Data


Benetech Celebrates Milestone; Human Rights Data Analysis Group Transitioning into Independent Organization


In Syrian Conflict, Real-Time Evidence Of Violations


Chad: Habré Knew of Deaths in His Jails


Former Leader of Guatemala Is Guilty of Genocide Against Mayan Group


Carnegie Mellon Partners With Human Rights Data Analysis Group To Improve Syrian Casualty Reporting


Inside a Dictator’s Secret Police


Hissène Habré, le Pinochet Africain


The Forensic Humanitarian

International human rights work attracts activists and lawyers, diplomats and retired politicians. One of the most admired figures in the field, however, is a ponytailed statistics guru from Silicon Valley named Patrick Ball, who has spent nearly two decades fashioning a career for himself at the intersection of mathematics and murder. You could call him a forensic humanitarian.


Benetech Statistical Expert Testifies in Guatemala Disappearance Case


Death and the Mainframe: How data analysis can help document human rights atrocities


Estimating Deaths


Capture-Recapture for Casualty Estimation and Beyond: Recent Advances and Research Directions

Daniel Manrique-Vallier, Patrick Ball, Mauricio Sadinle. (2022). Capture-Recapture for Casualty Estimation and Beyond: Recent Advances and Research Directions. In: Carriquiry, A.L., Tanur, J.M., Eddy, W.F. (eds) Statistics in the Public Interest. Springer Series in the Data Sciences. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-75460-0_2

Manrique-Vallier, D., Ball, P., Sadinle, M. (2022). Capture-Recapture for Casualty Estimation and Beyond: Recent Advances and Research Directions. In: Carriquiry, A.L., Tanur, J.M., Eddy, W.F. (eds) Statistics in the Public Interest. Springer Series in the Data Sciences. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-75460-0_2


Estimating the human toll in Syria

Megan Price (2017). Estimating the human toll in Syria. Nature. 8 February 2017. © 2017 Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature. All rights reserved. Nature Human Behaviour. ISSN 2397-3374.


Direct procès Habré: le taux de mortalité dans les centres de détention, au menu des débats

Statisticien, Patrick Ball est à la barre ce vendredi matin. L’expert est entendu sur le taux de mortalité dans les centres de détention au Tchad sous Habré. Désigné par la chambre d’accusation, il dira avoir axé ses travaux sur des témoignages, des données venant des victimes et des documents de la DDS (Direction de la Documentation et de la Sécurité).


The Death Toll in Syria


Our work has been used by truth commissions, international criminal tribunals, and non-governmental human rights organizations. We have worked with partners on projects on five continents.

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