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Using statistics to estimate the true scope of the secret killings at the end of the Sri Lankan civil war

In the last three days of the Sri Lankan civil war, as thousands of people surrendered to government authorities, hundreds of people were put on buses driven by Army officers. Many were never seen again.

In a report released today (see here), the International Truth and Justice Project for Sri Lanka and the Human Rights Data Analysis Group showed that over 500 people were disappeared on only three days — 17, 18, and 19 May.


Megan Price: Life-Long ‘Math Nerd’ Finds Career in Social Justice

“I was always a math nerd. My mother has a polaroid of me in the fourth grade with my science fair project … . It was the history of mathematics. In college, I was a math major for a year and then switched to statistics.

I always wanted to work in social justice. I was raised by hippies, went to protests when I was young. I always felt I had an obligation to make the world a little bit better.”


The Panic Button: High-Tech Protection for Human Rights Investigators


Data Mining on the Side of the Angels

“Data, by itself, isn’t truth.” How HRDAG uses data analysis and statistical methods to shed light on mass human rights abuses. Executive director Patrick Ball is quoted from his speech at the Chaos Communication Congress in Hamburg, Germany.


Benetech Scientists Publish Analysis of Indirect Sampling Methods in the Journal of the American Medical Association


Mining data on mutilations, beatings, murders


How statistics caught Indonesia’s war-criminals


A Human Rights Statistician Finds Truth In Numbers

The tension started in the witness room. “You could feel the stress rolling off the walls in there,” Patrick Ball remembers. “I can remember realizing that this is why lawyers wear sport coats – you can’t see all the sweat on their arms and back.” He was, you could say, a little nervous to be cross-examined by Slobodan Milosevic.


The Forensic Humanitarian

International human rights work attracts activists and lawyers, diplomats and retired politicians. One of the most admired figures in the field, however, is a ponytailed statistics guru from Silicon Valley named Patrick Ball, who has spent nearly two decades fashioning a career for himself at the intersection of mathematics and murder. You could call him a forensic humanitarian.


The Atrocity Archives


Estimating Deaths


Inside a Dictator’s Secret Police


Benetech Statistical Expert Testifies in Guatemala Disappearance Case


Guatemalan Ex-Cops Get 40 Years for Labor Leader’s Slaying


Patrick Ball on the Perils of Misusing Human Rights Data


Data Analysis By Benetech Scientists Aid in Arrest of Former Guatemalan Police Chief


Hissène Habré, le Pinochet Africain


Former Leader of Guatemala Is Guilty of Genocide Against Mayan Group


60,000 Dead in Syria? Why the Death Toll is Likely Even Higher


The Body Counter


Our work has been used by truth commissions, international criminal tribunals, and non-governmental human rights organizations. We have worked with partners on projects on five continents.

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