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January 2018
Using Statistics to Advance Social Justice & Human Rights #DataTalk
HRDAG executive director Megan Price talks with Mike Delgado (Experian Data Talks) about ways to use data to promote social justice and human rights around the world. January 26, 2018 / Experian #DataTalk
Find out more »Data Privacy Day 2018
Kristian Lum delivers her talk, "What's an Algorithm Got to Do with It?" at the National Cyber Security Alliance's Data Privacy Day.
Find out more »Women in Data Science Conference – Boston 2018
Megan Price keynotes the Women in Data Science conference in Boston, Massachusetts: “Does the Truth Matter? How Data Analysis Can Contribute to Accountability?” The Women in Data Science Conference, a partnership of Mount Holyoke College, Smith College, and MassMutual, shines a spotlight on the leading work of women in data science across research, education, and industry domains. This event recognizes, celebrates, and advocates for the advancement of women within the data science disciplines and highlights the significant impact that this work has…
Find out more »February 2017
Women in Data Science Conference
HRDAG executive director Megan Price delivers a talk titled, "Using Machine Learning to Determine How Many People Have Been Killed in Syria." From the program: The Human Rights Data Analysis Group (HRDAG) uses methods from statistics and computer science to quantify mass violence. As part of that work, we rely on open source tools, including python and R, for data processing, management, analysis, and visualization. This talk will highlight how we use those methods and tools to estimate how many…
Find out more »December 2016
Kellogg Institute for International Studies
Video of Patrick Ball at Kellogg Institute, Notre Dame, available here. Digital Echoes: Understanding Patterns of Mass Violence with Data and Statistics Data about mass violence can seem to offer insights into patterns: Is violence getting better, or worse, over time? Is violence directed more against men or women? But in human rights data collection, we (usually) don’t know what we don’t know—and worse, what we don’t know is likely to be systematically different from what we do know. This…
Find out more »November 2016
Code for America Summit
Kristian Lum spoke on a panel about "Working together to reduce racial disparities in the justice system." Photo by Greg Jordan-Detamore @GJordanDetamore
Find out more »October 2016
Women in Statistics and Data Science Conference
HRDAG executive director Megan Price delivers a talk titled, "Flexing Your Self-Confidence Muscles," in Charlotte, North Carolina, at the Women in Statistics and Data Science conference. Open to anyone registered for conference.
Find out more »Multithreaded Speaker Series
Kristian Lum spoke about her recent work exploring the consequences of police using predictive models.
Find out more »September 2016
Data Visualization New York
Patrick Ball explores the assumption that nearly every project using data must make: that the data are representative of reality in the world. He examines how, contrary to the standard assumption, statistical patterns in raw data tend to be quite different than patterns in the world.
Find out more »Digital Echoes: Understanding Patterns of Mass Violence with Data and Statistics
HRDAG’s director of research, Patrick Ball, explores the assumption that nearly every project using data must make: that the data are representative of reality in the world.The talk illustrates how biases in raw data can be addressed through estimation, and explain why it matters. Please book your ticket for this event via Eventbrite by 20 September, as a light lunch reception will be provided. Follow on Twitter via @EssexHRC. The talk is chaired by Professor Lorna McGregor, Director of Human Rights Centre, Co-Director of ESRC Human…
Find out more »Multiple Systems Estimation Workshop
HRDAG’s director of research, Patrick Ball, explores capture-recapture, a statistical method that enables the estimation of a total population using a set of intersecting, partial lists. This workshop follows a seminar on Understanding Patterns of Mass Violence with Data and Statistics, also by Patrick. Registration for this seminar will close at 17:00 on Friday 9 September 2016. Follow on Twitter @CamBigData.
Find out more »Digital Echoes: Understanding Patterns of Mass Violence with Data and Statistics
HRDAG's director of research, Patrick Ball, explores the assumption that nearly every project using data must make: that the data are representative of reality in the world.The talk illustrates how biases in raw data can be addressed through estimation, and explain why it matters. This talk will be followed by a Multiple Systems Estimation workshop, also by Patrick. Registration for this seminar will close at 17:00 on Friday 9 September 2016. Follow on Twitter @CamBigData.
Find out more »Deduplicating databases of deaths in war
Isaac Newton Institute, Cambridge, UK, 12 Sept 2016 / Australian National University On 12 September, 2016, director of research Patrick Ball gave a talk at the University of Cambridge's Isaac Newton Institute (INI) for Mathematical Sciences on the topic of Deduplicating databases of deaths in war: advances in adaptive blocking, pairwise classification, and clustering. @NewtonInstitute @anucecs
Find out more »August 2016
PyData San Francisco
HRDAG executive director Megan Price delivers the keynote: Using the Python Data Science Stack to Determine How Many People Have Been Killed in Syria. Open to anyone registered for PyData San Francisco. Follow on Twitter @PyData.
Find out more »JSM: Collecting Data on Gun Violence
HRDAG policing team member Laurel Eckhouse presented and executive director Megan Price chaired: "Collecting Data on Gun Violence: Why Is It So Hard and What Are We Missing?" The talk was open to anyone registered for JSM.
Find out more »July 2016
International Biometrics Conference: Statistics and Human Rights
HRDAG executive director Megan Price speaks on an invited panel. Stay tuned for details.
Find out more »June 2016
Strata+Hadoop London: Machine Learning for Human Rights Advocacy
The same machine-learning methods used to learn about customers, improve speech recognition, and identify cat faces can also be applied to questions about conflict violence. Megan Price demonstrates how machine-learning methods help us determine what we know, and what we don’t, about the ongoing conflict in Syria. Megan then explains why these methods can be crucial to better understand patterns of violence, enabling better policy decisions, resource allocation, and ultimately, accountability and justice. Video footage of the talk: https://www.oreilly.com/ideas/machine-learning-for-human-rights-advocacy
Find out more »May 2016
Quantitative Data and Human Rights Conference: Duke University
Presentations by HRDAG team members Megan Price, Kristian Lum and Patrick Ball, as well as colleagues as James Johndrow,Daniel Manrique, Robin Mejia and Beka Steorts. Hosted by HRDAG Advisory Board member David Banks.
Find out more »April 2016
Stanford Journal of Criminal Law and Policy
HRDAG colleague William Isaac served on a panel, "Debate: Big Data Makes Policing Fairer," with Professor Elizabeth Joh and other researchers. He represented the HRDAG policing team.
Find out more »Understanding Patterns of Mass Violence with Data and Statistics: Brown University
This talk will explore the assumption that nearly every project using data must make: that the data are representative of reality in the world. We will explore how, contrary to the standard assumption, how statistical patterns in raw data tend to be quite different than patterns in the world. Statistical patterns in data reflect how the data was collected rather than changes in the real-world phenomena data purport to represent. Using analysis of killings in Iraq, homicides committed by police…
Find out more »April BARUG meetup at Predictive Analytics World
Megan Price, executive director of Human Rights Data Analysis Group, will be the keynote speaker for this meeting of the Bay Area UserR Group (R Programming Language). Check out this blogpost by Joseph Rickert of Revolution Analytics: "Megan Price, a long-time member and supporter of BARUG, will present the statistical techniques and R packages that the Human Rights Data Analysis Group, HRDAG, uses to compensate for the missing data problems that plague attempts to estimate conflict related casualties in Syria. This…
Find out more »March 2016
Seeing the Forest: Columbia University
Patrick Ball, director of research at HRDAG, discusses how to analyze hidden patterns using (mostly) public data about people killed in Syria, 2011-2015. This is part of the Disrupting Unity and Discerning Ruptures: Focus Aleppo lecture series, with Laura Kurgan and Avinaom Shalem. Please register: info @ c4sr.columbia.edu by March 24, 2016.
Find out more »Strata + Hadoop Conference
Megan Price, executive director of Human Rights Data Analysis Group, delivers the keynote speech at the Wednesday morning session. Video footage of the talk: https://www.oreilly.com/ideas/data-and-human-rights
Find out more »Data & Society: understanding patterns of mass violence with data and statistics
Databite No. 74: Patrick Ball presents Digital Echoes: Understanding Patterns of Mass Violence with Data and Statistics. This talk will explore the assumption that nearly every project using data must make: that the data are representative of reality in the world. Using analysis of killings in Iraq, homicides committed by police in the US, killings in the conflict in Syria, and homicides in Colombia, we will contrast patterns in raw data with data in estimated total patterns of violence. The talk will show how biases…
Find out more »Tyranny of the Algorithm?
The Bernstein Institute for Human Rights at New York University Law School held a two-day conference exploring predictive analytics and human rights. HRDAG director of research Patrick Ball and lead statistician Kristian Lum spoke about Data Hygiene and Algorithmic Oversight. "Data-driven risk assessments raise difficult issues of oversight, since they rely on data sets and algorithms that may be hidden, opaque, or misunderstood by the general public. Many of the actors who usually play a role in the detection of human rights…
Find out more »International Studies Association Conference 2016
ISA's 57th Annual Convention: Exploring Peace. Megan Price, executive director of HRDAG, will participate as a panelist in "A Million Deaths is a Statistic: New Findings from the Archives of Political Conflict." Her talk will be "Exploring the Contents of the Historic Archive of the National Police in Guatemala." This session is open to anyone attending ISA.
Find out more »February 2016
IACS at Harvard
Megan Price, executive director of HRDAG, speaks at the Institute for Applied Computational Science (IACS) at Harvard. Her topic is "How Machine Learning Helps Count Casualties in Syria." Free and open to the public, with lunch. Room: Maxwell Dworkin G115. Video footage of the talk: youtu.be/B6xXeoo5QKA
Find out more »November 2015
Körber-Stiftung German Thesis Award
On November 26, Anita Gohdes will be awarded the German Dissertation Prize for the Social Sciences. The Koerber Foundation gives out a yearly prize for the most important dissertation in Germany in the Social Sciences, the Humanities, and the Natural Sciences. The award is given by the patron of the prize, the President of the German Parliament, Norbert Lammert.
Find out more »Meet the Innovators Under 35
In September, our colleague Beka Steorts was named an Innovator Under 35 by MIT Technology Review. Two months later, she delivered a talk at EmTech -- at the MIT Media Lab -- on how "big data" could cut through the fog of war. Here's a link to her three-minute talk, and here's more information on Beka's award. #EmTechMIT
Find out more »September 2015
Policing in the dark? Observed homicides and the Colombian peace process, 2003-2011
At the 111th Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association (APSA), HRDAG colleagues Jule Krüger and Amelia Hoover Green will discuss "Filling in the Blanks: Data Problems and Solutions in the Study of Violence" as part of the HIDDEN VIOLENCE DURING ARMED CONFLICT: METHODOLOGICAL CHALLENGES AND INNOVATIONS panel. The panel will be chaired by Christian Davenport. From the program: "The aim for this panel is to take stock of data and methods used to understand hard-to-study phenomena in conflict…
Find out more »August 2015
Big Data Promises and Pitfalls: Examples from Syria
On August 25, 2015, at #HLF15, director of research Megan Price explained how HRDAG relies on many data sources in the documentation of human rights, such as bureaucratic or border crossing records. Quantitative analyses have the potential to contribute to transitional justice mechanisms, via empirical evidence—but most data available in transitional justice settings are incomplete. Using conventional "big data" approaches can lead to not only incomplete but often incorrect analytical results. Her presentation explored how information is generated about killings in conflict, and…
Find out more »Joint Statistical Meetings 2015
At the annual Joint Statistical Meetings of the American Statistical Association, held this year in Seattle, Washington, Megan Price gave a talk on developing a career in statistics. (Details here.) Patrick Ball, executive director of HRDAG, presented an invited paper, "Doing Good with Data Viz," on August 12. (Details here.) "In the measurement of mass violence, nearly all the data are convenience samples with unknowable biases. Estimation transforms the bias into variance. That is, estimation adjusts the observed measurement to…
Find out more »May 2015
Digital Echoes: Understanding Patterns of Mass Violence with Data and Statistics
Hosted by the Open Society Foundations with Elizabeth Eagen. Statistical patterns in raw data tend to be quite different than patterns in the real world: patterns in data tend to reflect how the data was collected rather than changes in the real-world phenomena the data appears to represent. Using analysis of killings in Iraq, homicides committed by police in the United States, killings in the conflict in Syria, and homicides in Colombia, Patrick Ball will explore how biases in raw…
Find out more »“Big Data” Plenary Panel
On May 15, 2015, HRDAG executive director Patrick Ball addressed a crowd of more than 100 people at Claremont Graduate University during a forum on the potential and limitations of big data. Patrick was one of five headline speakers at the event, which was moderated by Thomas Horan, CGU Professor and Director, Center for Information Systems and Technology. Here's Patrick's 12 minutes on "big data." In addition to Patrick, the panel included: Mukesh Aghi, President of the United States-India Business…
Find out more »Pics or it didn’t happen—how does social media access affect what we know about killings in the Syrian conflict?
On May 6, 2015, HRDAG affiliate Anita Gohdes presented a talk at re:publica 2015, a conference on Internet and society, about data culled from social media and their impact on our understanding of the Syrian conflict. Pics or it didn’t happen—how does social media access affect what we know about killings in the Syrian conflict? Anita Gohdes May 6, 2015 Berlin #rp15
Find out more »February 2015
Evaluation of the Kosovo Memory Book at Pristina
On February 4, 2015, at the National Archive in Pristina, Kosovo, HRDAG executive director Patrick Ball gave a presentation on research (done with colleague Jule Krüger) about the database of the Kosovo Memory Book (KMB). The KMB is part of the Humanitarian Law Centre in Belgrade and Pristina). In this photo, Patrick is speaking, and HLC-Belgrade executive director emeritus Natasa Kandic and Professor Michael Spagat are at the table with him. At the laptop between Spagat and Patrick is Laza Lazarevic…
Find out more »January 2015
How do we know what we know?
Patrick Ball. Arizona State University. January, 2015.
Find out more »Examining the Crisis in Syria
Conference Hosted by New America and Arizona State University’s Center on the Future of War and the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism and Mass Communication. Megan Price, panelist. Washington, D.C. January 15, 2015.
Find out more »AAAS Science & Human Rights Coalition Meeting: Big Data & Human Rights
Megan Price, panelist. Washington, D.C. January 15-16, 2015. Throughout the first day of this meeting, participants deepened their knowledge about emerging human rights opportunities and concerns connected to Big Data, especially the implications for the work of scientists and engineers. Sessions explored how collection, analysis, and access to massive data sets can impact human rights, both positively and negatively, and identifed ways in which human rights principles offer guidance for responsible data use. Throughout the first day of this meeting,…
Find out more »November 2014
Big Data and Death: Mini-Conference.
On November 7, 2014, the Department of Political Science, University of Wisconsin–Madison, and the University of Wisconsin Law School, hosted a mini-conference with speakers Jennifer Alix-Garcia, Patrick Ball, Chad Hazlett, Volker Radeloff, and Philip Schrodt to speak about “Big Data and Death.” The conference was organized by John Ahlquist and Jon Pevehouse. Big Data and Death Department of Political Science University of Wisconsin–Madison November 7, 2014 Madison, Wisconsin
Find out more »October 2014
Data Mining for Good: Thoreau Center Lunch + Learn
At the Thoreau Center for Sustainability’s “Lunch and Learn,” Patrick Ball spoke about “Data Mining for Good.” The talk included a discussion of how HRDAG uses random sampling, entity resolution, communications metadata, and statistical modeling to assist prosecutions of human rights violators. With an introduction by John DeCock, Chief Operating and Outreach Officer, Bioneers. The Thoreau Center for Sustainability Lunch and Learn October 23, 2014 San Francisco, California
Find out more »Record Linkage and Capture-Recapture in the Analysis of Genocide in Guatemala
Data Mining for Good -- Department of Statistics, University of Indiana–Bloomington. Patrick Ball, speaker. October 20, 2014.
Find out more »September 2014
Data Mining for Good: CJA Drink + Think
At the Center for Justice and Accountability’s happy hour, “Drink and Think,” Patrick Ball spoke about “Data Mining for Good.” The talk included a discussion of how HRDAG brings human rights abusers to justice through data analysis, and HRDAG’s work conducting quantitative analysis for truth commissions, NGOs, the UN and other partners. The event was held at Eventbrite. More photos are below. The Center for Justice and Accountability Young Professionals’ Committee for Human Rights September 16, 2014…
Find out more »August 2014
Human Rights Violations: How Do We Begin Counting the Dead?
ASA President Nathaniel Schenker (left) and Patrick Ball, August 2014. At the 2014 Joint Statistical Meetings, Patrick Ball discussed his invited paper, "Human Rights Violations: How Do We Begin Counting the Dead?" Also at the JSM, he was honored as a new Fellow of the American Statistical Association and inducted by ASA President Nathaniel Schenker. Joint Statistical Meetings August 7, 2014 Boston, Massachusetts Link to JSM 2014 online program Back to Talks
Find out more »Global Impact: Statistical Analyses of Conflict Data in Syria, Guatemala, and Colombia — Invited Papers.
“Global Impact: Statistical Analyses of Conflict Data in Syria, Guatemala, and Colombia — Invited Papers.” Joint Statistical Meetings. Shira Mitchell, Megan Price, Patrick Ball. Boston, Massachusetts, August 5, 2014. Slides.
Find out more »June 2014
Record linkage and other statistical models for quantifying conflict casualties in Syria.
“Record linkage and other statistical models for quantifying conflict casualties in Syria.” International Symposium on Business and Industrial Statistics (ISBIS)/Conference of the ASA Section on Statistical Learning and Data Mining. Megan Price. Durham, North Carolina. June 10, 2014.
Find out more »April 2014
You Are Not So Smart: How we miss what is missing and what to do about it
YANSS podcast 022 On the San Francisco program, You Are Not So Smart, HRDAG director of research Megan Price talked with host David McRaney about Syria, human rights violations, and statistical analysis. The topic was survivorship bias. Megan's part in the podcast begins around Minute 27. From the YANSS blog: "Unfortunately, survivorship bias stands between you and the epiphanies you seek." You Are Not So Smart March 11, 2014 (podcast April 24, 2014) San Francisco, California Link to YANSS podcast…
Find out more »March 2014
Pulling the Plug: Network Disruptions and Violence in the Syrian Conflict
At this year’s International Studies Association Annual Convention, Anita Gohdes presented a talk titled, “Pulling the Plug: Network Disruptions and Violence in the Syrian Conflict,” while director of research Megan Price served on the working group, “Global Trends in War, Conflict, and Political Violence.” International Studies Association Annual Convention March 26-29, 2014 Toronto, Canada Link to ISA 2014 program
Find out more »“Lightning Talk” at RightsCon 2014 – Using Math and Science to Count Killings in Syria
Megan Price at RightsCon 2014 In this afternoon "Lightning Talk" at RightsCon 2014, Megan Price spoke about the importance of using models to adjust for variability when reporting human rights violations and mentioned innovative tools that can be used for tracking abuses. RIGHTSCON March 4, 2014 San Francisco, California Link to RightsCon program Back to Talks
Find out more »February 2014
STRATA 2014 – Record Linkage and Other Statistical Models for Quantifying Conflict Casualties in Syria
How do we know how many people have been killed in Syria? The hard answer is we don't. In this talk, presented at Strata, Megan Price addresses how HRDAG uses random forests, multiple systems estimation, and various Python and R packages to estimate conflict casualties. STRATA February 13, 2014 Santa Clara, California Link to 10-minute talk on youtube Back to Talks
Find out more »December 2013
Data Mining for Good: Using random sampling, entity resolution, communications metadata, and statistical modeling to assist prosecutions for disappearance and genocide in Guatemala
Data Mining for Good: Using random sampling, entity resolution, communications metadata, and statistical modeling to assist prosecutions for disappearance and genocide in Guatemala. Patrick Ball. Chaos Computer Club, Hamburg, December 20, 2013.
Find out more »October 2013
Counting Casualties: How the Human Rights Data Analysis Group Quantifies Conflict Violence
Counting Casualties: How the Human Rights Data Analysis Group Quantifies Conflict Violence. Megan Price at the World Social Science Forum 2013. October 13, 2013.
Find out more »September 2013
Ford Institute presents the Counting Civilian Casualties Book Release
The Counting Civilian Casualties Book Release. Baruch Fischoff of Carnegie Mellon University, Patrick Ball of HRDAG (Patrick begins at 33:00), and more co-authors. Ford Institute, September 26, 2013. ***** GSPIA Professor Taylor Seybolt, along with Carnegie Mellon's Jay D. Aronson and Baruch Fischhoff, present their new book "Counting Civilian Casualties: An Introduction to Recording and Estimating Nonmilitary Deaths in Conflict". The book contains contributions from the top researchers in the field, presenting case studies from Latin America, South America,…
Find out more »August 2013
Skeptically Speaking – Math on Trial
Math on Trial. Patrick Ball and Leila Schneps discuss how math can help (or hinder) the pursuit of justice. (Patrick begins at 36:30.) Moderated by Rachelle Saunders. Skeptically Speaking, August 22, 2013. *** This week, guest host Rachelle Saunders explores the ways that math can help (and hinder) the pursuit of justice. She speaks to mathematician and University of Paris Professor Leila Schneps, co-author of the book Math on Trial: How Numbers Get Used and Abused in the Courtroom. And…
Find out more »May 2013
LASA 2013 – Death toll in Guatemala
The Death Toll in Guatemala. Patrick Ball explains the role of statistics and the need for a revised CEH estimate in Guatemala’s 36-year armed conflict. Latin American Studies Association meetings in Washington, DC, May 30 2013. *** Statistician Patrick Ball of Human Rights Data Analysis Group (hrdag.org) gives a talk on new ways to calculate the number of people who died in Guatemala's 36-year armed conflict. Latin American Studies Association (LASA) meetings in Washington, DC, on May 30 2013.
Find out more »Using Data to Prosecute Genocide
Using Data to Prosecute Genocide. Patrick Ball and Marta Elena Casaus. New America Foundation, May 29, 2013. *** On May 10, 2013, Guatemala made history when General Efraín Ríos Montt became the first former head of state to be tried and convicted for genocide in the courts of his own country. The trial revisited one of the most brutal cases of government repression in the Western Hemisphere—a 34-year civil conflict forged by the Cold War in which military-dominated regimes engaged…
Find out more »March 2013
Tech Challenge for Atrocity Prevention
Tech Challenge for Atrocity Prevention. Lawrence Woocher (SAIC) moderates this discussion with Patrick Ball as one of the guests. Humanity United and USAID, Google hangout, March 8, 2013. This Google+ Hangout features judges and winners from the USAID and Humanity United co-sponsored Tech Challenge for Atrocity Prevention (thetechchallenge.org), an effort aimed at identifying innovative applications of science and technology to prevent mass atrocities. Lawrence Woocher (SAIC) moderates this discussion on technology and human rights with Tech Challenge first round winners…
Find out more »October 2012
Making the Case: The Production and Consumption of Quantitative Data on Human Rights Abuses
Making the Case: The Production and Consumption of Quantitative Data on Human Rights Abuses. Patrick Ball participates in Translating Human Rights: Bodies of Evidence. International Institute at the University of Michigan, October 2012. *** "Making the Case: The Production and Consumption of Quantitative Data on Human Rights Abuses" Speaker: Patrick Ball, Chief Scientist and Vice President, Human Rights Program, Benetech U-M Respondents: Andrew Herscher and Kiyoteru Tsutsui SHOW MORE
Find out more »June 2012
Counting the Toll: The Production and Consumption of Human Rights Data
Counting the Toll: The Production and Consumption of Human Rights Data. Patrick Ball at Mozilla. June 2012. *** Patrick Ball has spent more than twenty years designing databases and conducting quantitative analyses for truth commissions, non-governmental organizations, international criminal tribunals, national tribunals, and United Nations missions in over twenty countries. Using examples from his projects in El Salvador, Kosovo, Colombia, Timor-Leste, and Sierra Leone, Patrick will explore how human rights statistics can be misleading -- and how the limitations can…
Find out more »April 2012
Duke University – Data Security or Death
Data Security or Death (or, how to preserve security and privacy in the face of adversarial surveillance). Tyler Dukes (The Reporters’ Lab, Duke University) moderates this discussion with Patrick Ball as one of the guests. (Podcast) 2012.
Find out more »October 2010
The Role of Databases in Transitional Justice Research
The Role of Databases in Transitional Justice Research. Megan Price. University of Ulster, Belfast, Ireland, 26 October 2010. Stream Talk Here
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