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“SurmortalitĂ© carcĂ©rale” sous HabrĂ©
Le statisticien amĂ©ricain Patrick Ball, expert au procĂšs de HissĂšne HabrĂ©, a dĂ©clarĂ© vendredi que le taux de mortalitĂ© d’opposants tchadiens prĂ©sumĂ©s dans les prisons du rĂ©gime HabrĂ© Ă©tait encore pire que celui des prisonniers de guerre amĂ©ricains dans les camps japonais.
Data Mining on the Side of the Angels
âData, by itself, isnât truth.â How HRDAG uses data analysis and statistical methods to shed light on mass human rights abuses. Executive director Patrick Ball is quoted from his speech at the Chaos Communication Congress in Hamburg, Germany.
Syrian civil war death toll exceeds 190,000, U.N. reports
Ayan Sheikh of PBS News Hour reports on the UN Office of the High Commissioner of Human Rightâs release of HRDAGâs third report on reported killings in the Syrian conflict.
From the article:
The latest death toll figure covers the period from March 2011 to April of this year, came from the Human Rights Data Analysis Group and is the third study of its kind on Syria. The analysis group identified 191,269 deaths. Data was collected from five different sources to exclude inaccuracies and repetitions.
New UN report counts 191,369 Syrian-war deaths â but the truth is probably much, much worse
Amanda Taub of Vox has interviewed HRDAG executive director about the UN Office of the High Commissioner of Human Rightâs release of HRDAGâs third report on reported killings in the Syrian conflict.
From the article:
Patrick Ball, Executive Director of the Human Rights Data Analysis Group and one of the reportâs authors, explained to me that this new report is not a statistical estimate of the number of people killed in the conflict so far. Rather, itâs an actual list of specific victims who have been identified by name, date, and location of death. (The report only tracked violent killings, not âexcess mortalityâ deaths from from disease or hunger that the conflict is causing indirectly.)
UN Raises Estimate of Dead in Syrian Conflict to 191,000
Nick Cumming-Bruce of the New York Times writes about the UN Office of the High Commissioner of Human Rightâs release of HRDAGâs third report on reported killings in the Syrian conflict.
From the article:
In its third report on Syria commissioned by the United Nations, the Human Rights Data Analysis Group identified 191,369 deaths from the start of the conflict in March 2011 to April 2014, more than double the 92,901 deaths cited in their last report, which covered the first two years of the conflict.
âTragically, it is probably an underestimate of the real total number of people killed during the first three years of this murderous conflict,â Ms. Pillay said in a statement that accompanied the report, which observed that many killings in Syria were undocumented.
SermonNew death toll estimated in Syrian civil war
Kevin Uhrmacher of the Washington Post prepared a graph that illustrates reported deaths over time, by number of organizations reporting the deaths.
In Syria, Uncovering the Truth Behind a Number
Huffington Post Politics writer Matt Easton interviews Patrick Ball, executive director of HRDAG, about the latest enumeration of killings in Syria. As selection bias is increasing, it becomes harder to see it: we have the âappearance of perfect knowledge, when in fact the shape of that knowledge has not changed that much,â says Patrick. âTechnology is not a substitute for science.â
Inside the Difficult, Dangerous Work of Tallying the ISIS Death Toll
HRDAG executive director Megan Price is interviewed by Mother Jones. An excerpt: “Violence can be hidden,” says Price. “ISIS has its own agenda. Sometimes that agenda is served by making public things they’ve done, and I have to assume, sometimes it’s served by hiding things they’ve done.”
âEl reto de la estadĂstica es encontrar lo escondidoâ: experto en manejo de datos sobre el conflicto
In this interview with Colombian newspaper El Espectador, Patrick Ball is quoted as saying “la gente que no conoce de ĂĄlgebra nunca deberĂa hacer estadĂsticas” (people who don’t know algebra should never do statistics).
Palantir Has Secretly Been Using New Orleans to Test Its Predictive Policing Technology
One of the researchers, a Michigan State PhD candidate named William Isaac, had not previously heard of New Orleansâ partnership with Palantir, but he recognized the data-mapping model at the heart of the program. âI think the data theyâre using, there are serious questions about its predictive power. Weâve seen very little about its ability to forecast violent crime,â Isaac said.
The Data Scientist Helping to Create Ethical Robots
Kristian Lum is focusing on artificial intelligence and the controversial use of predictive policing and sentencing programs.
Whatâs the relationship between statistics and AI and machine learning?
AI seems to be a sort of catchall for predictive modeling and computer modeling. There was this great tweet that said something like, âItâs AI when youâre trying to raise money, ML when youâre trying to hire developers, and statistics when youâre actually doing it.â I thought that was pretty accurate.
What HBR Gets Wrong About Algorithms and Bias
“Kristian Lum… organized a workshop together with Elizabeth Bender, a staff attorney for the NY Legal Aid Society and former public defender, and Terrence Wilkerson, an innocent man who had been arrested and could not afford bail. Together, they shared first hand experience about the obstacles and inefficiencies that occur in the legal system, providing valuable context to the debate around COMPAS.”