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Lancet Study Estimates Gaza Death Toll 40% Higher Than Recorded

“Patrick Ball, a statistician at the US-based Human Rights Data Analysis Group not involved in the research, has used capture-recapture methods to estimate death tolls for conflicts in Guatemala, Kosovo, Peru and Colombia.

Ball told AFP the well-tested technique has been used for centuries and that the researchers had reached “a good estimate” for Gaza.”


Over 60,000 Dead in Syria conflict, UN Says


Tech for Truth


Meet the data analyst putting the perpetrators of genocide in prison

Biotechniques published an interview with Patrick Ball, inspired by his John Maddox Prize award.


The Demography of Conflict-Related Mortality in Timor-Leste (1974-1999): Empirical Quantitative Measurement of Civilian Killings, Disappearances & Famine-Related Deaths

Romesh Silva and Patrick Ball. “The Demography of Conflict-Related Mortality in Timor-Leste (1974-1999): Empirical Quantitative Measurement of Civilian Killings, Disappearances & Famine-Related Deaths” In Statistical Methods for Human Rights, J. Asher, D. Banks and F. Scheuren, eds., Springer (New York) (2007)


Death Numbers


Martus – Paramilitary Protection for Activists


A Human Rights Breakthrough in Guatemala


Technology His Launchpad for Literacy, Human Rights


Verdad al acecho (The Truth Is Stalking)


Human Rights Violations of Hissène Habré


Condenan a 40 años de cárcel a dos ex policías


Court Sentences Two Former Policemen to 40 Years in Prison Todanoticia.com


The Invisible Crime, (pdf of English translation)


Contabilidad el número de víctimas de la guerra de Siria


The case against Hissene Habre


The Forensic Humanitarian


How Do We Know the Death Toll in Syria Is Accurate?


Por qué los datos casan con la hipótesis de que hubo genocidio


The Death Toll in Syria


Our work has been used by truth commissions, international criminal tribunals, and non-governmental human rights organizations. We have worked with partners on projects on five continents.

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