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Using Statistics to Assess Lethal Violence in Civil and Inter-State War
Patrick Ball and Megan Price (2019). Using Statistics to Assess Lethal Violence in Civil and Inter-State War. Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application. 7 March 2019. © 2019 Annual Reviews. All rights reserved. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105222.
Sous la dictature dâHissĂšne HabrĂ©, le ridicule tuait
Patrick Ball, un expert en statistiques engagé par les Chambres africaines extraordinaires, a conclu que la « mortalité dans les prisons de la DDS fut substantiellement plus élevée que celles des pires contextes du XXe siÚcle de prisonniers de guerre ».
Direct procÚs Habré: le taux de mortalité dans les centres de détention, au menu des débats
Statisticien, Patrick Ball est Ă la barre ce vendredi matin. Lâexpert est entendu sur le taux de mortalitĂ© dans les centres de dĂ©tention au Tchad sous HabrĂ©. DĂ©signĂ© par la chambre d’accusation, il dira avoir axĂ© ses travaux sur des tĂ©moignages, des donnĂ©es venant des victimes et des documents de la DDS (Direction de la Documentation et de la SĂ©curitĂ©).
Courts and police departments are turning to AI to reduce bias, but some argue itâll make the problem worse
Kristian Lum: “The historical over-policing of minority communities has led to a disproportionate number of crimes being recorded by the police in those locations. Historical over-policing is then passed through the algorithm to justify the over-policing of those communities.”
Palantir Has Secretly Been Using New Orleans to Test Its Predictive Policing Technology
One of the researchers, a Michigan State PhD candidate named William Isaac, had not previously heard of New Orleansâ partnership with Palantir, but he recognized the data-mapping model at the heart of the program. âI think the data theyâre using, there are serious questions about its predictive power. Weâve seen very little about its ability to forecast violent crime,â Isaac said.
‘Bias deep inside the code’: the problem with AI ‘ethics’ in Silicon Valley
Kristian Lum, the lead statistician at the Human Rights Data Analysis Group, and an expert on algorithmic bias, said she hoped Stanfordâs stumble made the institution think more deeply about representation.
âThis type of oversight makes me worried that their stated commitment to the other important values and goals â like taking seriously creating AI to serve the âcollective needs of humanityâ â is also empty PR spin and this will be nothing more than a vanity project for those attached to it,â she wrote in an email.
Assassinations of social leaders in Colombia in 2016â2017
Patrick Ball, CĂ©sar RodrĂguez and Valentina Rozo (2018). Asesinatos de lĂderes sociales en Colombia en 2016â2017: una estimaciĂłn del universo. Dejusticia and Human Rights Data Analysis Group. August 2018. © 2018 HRDAG. Creative Commons.
ProcĂšs HissĂšne HabrĂ© : Le statisticien fait Ă©tat dâun taux de mortalitĂ© de 2,37% par jour
Les auditions dâexperts se poursuivent au palais de justice de Dakar sur le procĂšs de lâex-prĂ©sident tchadien HissĂšne HabrĂ©. Hier, câĂ©tait au tour de Patrick Ball, seul inscrit au rĂŽle, commis par la chambre dâaccusation de NâDjamena pour dresser les statistiques sur le taux de mortalitĂ© dans les centres de dĂ©tention.
At Torontoâs Tamil Fest, human rights group seeks data on Sri Lankaâs civil war casualties
Earlier this year, the Canadian Tamil Congress connected with HRDAG to bring its campaign to Torontoâs annual Tamil Fest, one of the largest gatherings of Canadaâs Sri Lankan diaspora.
Ravichandradeva, along with a few other volunteers, spent the weekend speaking with festival-goers in Scarborough about the project and encouraging them to come forward with information about deceased or missing loved ones and friends.
âThe idea is to collect thorough, scientifically rigorous numbers on the total casualties in the war and present them as a non-partisan, independent organization,â said Michelle Dukich, a data consultant with HRDAG.
How many people are infected with Covid-19?
Tarak Shah (2020). How many people are infected with Covid-19? Significance. 09 April 2020. © 2020 The Royal Statistical Society.
The Data Scientist Helping to Create Ethical Robots
Kristian Lum is focusing on artificial intelligence and the controversial use of predictive policing and sentencing programs.
Whatâs the relationship between statistics and AI and machine learning?
AI seems to be a sort of catchall for predictive modeling and computer modeling. There was this great tweet that said something like, âItâs AI when youâre trying to raise money, ML when youâre trying to hire developers, and statistics when youâre actually doing it.â I thought that was pretty accurate.
Mapping Mexicoâs hidden graves
When Patrick Ball was introduced to Iberoâs database, the director of research at the Human Rights Data Analysis Group in San Francisco, California, saw an opportunity to turn the data into a predictive model. Ball, who has used similar models to document human rights violations from Syria to Guatemala, soon invited Data CĂvica, a Mexico Cityâbased nonprofit that creates tools for analyzing data, to join the project.
“SurmortalitĂ© carcĂ©rale” sous HabrĂ©
Le statisticien amĂ©ricain Patrick Ball, expert au procĂšs de HissĂšne HabrĂ©, a dĂ©clarĂ© vendredi que le taux de mortalitĂ© d’opposants tchadiens prĂ©sumĂ©s dans les prisons du rĂ©gime HabrĂ© Ă©tait encore pire que celui des prisonniers de guerre amĂ©ricains dans les camps japonais.
Predictive policing violates more than it protects
William Isaac and Kristian Lum. Predictive policing violates more than it protects. USA Today. December 2, 2016. © USA Today.
Kriege und Social Media: Die Daten sind nicht perfekt
Suddeutsche Zeitung writer Mirjam Hauck interviewed HRDAG affiliate Anita Gohdes about the pitfalls of relying on social media data when interpreting violence in the context of war. This article, âKriege und Social Media: Die Daten sind nicht perfekt,â is in German.
The Case Against a Golden Key
Patrick Ball (2016). The case against a golden key. Foreign Affairs. September 14, 2016. ©2016 Council on Foreign Relations, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Can âpredictive policingâ prevent crime before it happens?
HRDAG analyst William Isaac is quoted in this article about so-called crime prediction. “They’re not predicting the future. What they’re actually predicting is where the next recorded police observations are going to occur.”
Inside Syria’s prisons, where an estimated 17,723 have died since 2011
Excerpt from the article:Â The estimate is based on reports from four organizations investigating deaths in Syria from March 15, 2011, to December, 31, 2015. From those cases, the Human Rights Data Analysis Group identified 12,270 cases with sufficient information to confirm the person was killed in detention. Using a statistical method to estimate how many victims they do not yet know about, the group came up with 17,723 cases.