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Syria’s status, the migrant crisis and talking to ISIS

In this week’s “Top Picks,” IRIN interviews HRDAG executive director Patrick Ball about giant data sets and whether we can trust them. “No matter how big it is, data on violence is always partial,” he says.


Death Numbers


How Do We Know the Death Toll in Syria Is Accurate?


Calculating Body Counts


News Wrap: U.N. Reports 60,000 Dead in Syria Since Civil War Began Two Years Ago


More Than 60,000 Have Died in Syrian Conflict, U.N. Says


Tech for Truth


Por qué los datos casan con la hipótesis de que hubo genocidio


Guatemala: Why We Cannot Turn Away


Contabilidad el nĂşmero de vĂ­ctimas de la guerra de Siria


Direct procès Habré: le taux de mortalité dans les centres de détention, au menu des débats

Statisticien, Patrick Ball est Ă  la barre ce vendredi matin. L’expert est entendu sur le taux de mortalitĂ© dans les centres de dĂ©tention au Tchad sous HabrĂ©. DĂ©signĂ© par la chambre d’accusation, il dira avoir axĂ© ses travaux sur des tĂ©moignages, des donnĂ©es venant des victimes et des documents de la DDS (Direction de la Documentation et de la SĂ©curitĂ©).


The Death Toll in Syria


Big Data Predictive Analytics Comes to Academic and Nonprofit Institutions to Fuel Innovation

“Revolution Analytics will allow HRDAG to handle bigger data sets and leverage the power of R to accomplish this goal and uncover the truth.” Director of Research Megan Price is quoted


Why Collecting Data In Conflict Zones Is Invaluable—And Nearly Impossible


Syrian civil war death toll exceeds 190,000, U.N. reports

Ayan Sheikh of PBS News Hour reports on the UN Office of the High Commissioner of Human Right’s release of HRDAG’s third report on reported killings in the Syrian conflict.
From the article:
The latest death toll figure covers the period from March 2011 to April of this year, came from the Human Rights Data Analysis Group and is the third study of its kind on Syria. The analysis group identified 191,269 deaths. Data was collected from five different sources to exclude inaccuracies and repetitions.


In Syria, Uncovering the Truth Behind a Number

Huffington Post Politics writer Matt Easton interviews Patrick Ball, executive director of HRDAG, about the latest enumeration of killings in Syria. As selection bias is increasing, it becomes harder to see it: we have the “appearance of perfect knowledge, when in fact the shape of that knowledge has not changed that much,” says Patrick. “Technology is not a substitute for science.”


“El reto de la estadística es encontrar lo escondido”: experto en manejo de datos sobre el conflicto

In this interview with Colombian newspaper El Espectador, Patrick Ball is quoted as saying “la gente que no conoce de álgebra nunca deberĂ­a hacer estadĂ­sticas” (people who don’t know algebra should never do statistics).


The Bigness of Big Data: samples, models, and the facts we might find when looking at data

Patrick Ball. 2015. The Bigness of Big Data: samples, models, and the facts we might find when looking at data. In The Transformation of Human Rights Fact-Finding, ed. Philip Alston and Sarah Knuckey. New York: Oxford University Press. ISBN: 9780190239497. © The Oxford University Press. All rights reserved.


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