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Violence in Blue

Note from the author (June 2020) The largest public demonstrations in a generation are at this moment demanding reform or abolition of the police in the United States.[1] The overwhelming and destabilizing violence by police against protesters has been egregiously disproportionate to the threats to property posed by a tiny minority of the demonstrators. Thanks to cell phone video and media coverage, Americans seem to be noticing, and there may be sufficient political momentum for meaningful change. It is essential in this moment to remember how authorities will respond to this pressure. Always, those authorities will claim that their extraordinary ...

Watch now: “In the Face of Tyranny,” a Webinar with HRDAG

The Human Rights Data Analysis Group recently hosted a conversation about the significant threats facing human rights researchers and scientific NGOs in the United States. We are posting the first part of this conversation on YouTube so that others may watch: In addition to this community conversation, HRDAG put out a statement outlining our specific concerns about the targeting of the human rights and research community. Read the statement and our blog post. As HRDAG Executive Director Dr. Megan Price explained, this is not a departure for HRDAG. As a scientific organization grounded in evidence, HRDAG remains fundamentally nonpartisan. ...

Watch Now: The Wandering Officer—New Databases for Police Accountability

What does justice look like for communities struggling with police violence? For Cat Brooks, Co-Founder of the Anti-Police Terror Project (APTP), true justice isn’t possible. "There is no such thing as justice when we're talking about police terror and the stealing of our community members' lives,” Brooks said at a recent event co-hosted by the Human Rights Data Analysis Group, APTP, Berkeley Institute for Data Science (BIDS), Community Law Enforcement Accountability Network (CLEAN) and the National Police Index (NPI). Hosted at Kinfolx in Oakland, CA, the event brought together activists, scholars, and community members to discuss how new ...

‘Technology Freedom Cooperative’ To Build Infrastructure for Human Rights and Justice Groups

Justin Hendrix, the CEO and Editor of Tech Policy Press, a nonprofit media venture concerned with the intersection of technology and democracy, interviewed two podcast guests: HRDAG’s director of research, Patrick Ball, and Maheen Khan, director of technology at the Invisible Institute. His August 30, 2026 podcast interview with Patrick and Maheen explored how the new Technology Freedom Cooperative can help nonprofit organizations protect evidence, reduce their dependence on big tech platforms, and build capacity.


Maddow: Advice on DEFIANCE in the age of Trump

In a 29 June, 2026 segment of MS Now, Maddow talks with Julia Angwin and Ami Fields-Meyer, authors of “On Courage: How to be a dissident in an age of fear,” about how to live as an American during a time of authoritarianism. The book, On Courage, quotes Patrick Ball, whom Maddow refers to as “a human rights statistician who has spent his whole career cataloguing perpetrators of state violence.”


When the AI bubble bursts, what will be left in the wreckage?

“They’re one of the most important NGOs that no one’s ever heard of. … What they do is very rigorous statistical extrapolations of information that’s not in the record, about wars, civil wars, coups, oppressive states, and they’re used for truth and reconciliation, human rights tribunals, war crimes trials. … They’ve worked on every high-profile war crimes trial in the century.”


Meet a Mathematician! – Tarak Shah

“You look at all the huge problems in the world, and you are trying to find ways to plug in. And it turns out—whether it is cooking a meal for somebody who’s hungry or cleaning some data so that you can do analysis on the things that we actually need to do to advance our work to make the world a little bit better— the main thing they require is somebody to care enough to do it.”


Who Knows? Fact-Finding in a Failing State w/ HRDAG and Data + Society

How do scientists and statisticians stand up to authoritarianism, especially when it happens in their home countries? That was the topic tackled by the Computer Says Maybe podcast, featuring HRDAG’s Executive Director Megan Price, Data and Society’s Janet Haven and Charlton McIlwan, and podcast host Alix Dunn.


Patrick Ball on Using Statistics to Uncover Truth

“The story of missing data is what I’ve spent my whole career thinking about,” explained Patrick. “The joke in our team is if the data were perfect, lawyers would do this with excel.”


Press Release, Timor-Leste, February 2006

SILICON VALLEY GROUP USES TECHNOLOGY TO HELP THE TRUTH COMMISSION ANSWER DISPUTED QUESTIONS ABOUT MASSIVE POLITICAL VIOLENCE IN TIMOR-LESTE Palo Alto, CA, February 9, 2006 – The Benetech® Initiative today released a statistical report detailing widespread and systematic violations in Timor-Leste during the period 1974-1999. Benetech's statistical analysis establishes that at least 102,800 (+/- 11,000) Timorese died as a result of the conflict. Approximately 18,600 (+/- 1000) Timorese were killed or disappeared, while the remainder died due to hunger and illness in excess of what would be expected due to peacetime mortality. The magnitude of deaths ...

Counting the Dead in Sri Lanka

ITJP and HRDAG are urging groups inside and outside Sri Lanka to share existing casualty lists.

Bangladesh

In December 2006, Human Rights Watch (HRW) issued a report documenting torture and unlawful killings committed by Bangladesh's Rapid Action Battalion (RAB), an elite anti-crime and anti-terrorism force. According to HRW, many of the deaths for which RAB is responsible resulted from summary executions or extreme physical abuse. The statistical analysis presented in the report, "Judge, Jury, and Death: Torture and Executions by Bangladesh's Elite Security Force," was conducted by Romesh Silva, a statistician who worked within the Benetech Human Rights Program at the time, and who now works with HRDAG. While researching these incidents, HRW compiled ...

Colombia

Data integration and statistical estimation: A collaboration with the Colombian Truth Commission (CEV) and the Special Jurisdiction for Peace (JEP) The Colombian government and the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) guerrilla group reached a Peace Agreement in 2016, which created the Commission for the Clarification of the Truth, Coexistence and Non-Repetition (CEV). The objective of this temporary institution was to discover the truth of what happened in the context of the armed conflict. 2020–2022: The Truth Commission joined with the Special Jurisdiction for Peace (JEP) and HRDAG in the “Joint JEP-CEV-HRDAG data integration and ...

The Bigness of Big Data: samples, models, and the facts we might find when looking at data

Patrick Ball. 2015. The Bigness of Big Data: samples, models, and the facts we might find when looking at data. In The Transformation of Human Rights Fact-Finding, ed. Philip Alston and Sarah Knuckey. New York: Oxford University Press. ISBN: 9780190239497. © The Oxford University Press. All rights reserved.


Views to a Kill: Exploring the Implications of Source Selection in the Case of Guatemalan State Terror, 1977-1996.

Christian Davenport and Patrick Ball. “Views to a Kill: Exploring the Implications of Source Selection in the Case of Guatemalan State Terror, 1977-1996.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 46(3): 427-450. 2002. doi.org/10.1177/0022002702046003005


I Wanted Him Back Alive, An Account of Edgar Fernando García’s Case from Inside Tribunals Tower


Guilty Verdict and 40 year Maximum Sentence in Edgar Fernando Garcia Case


Guatemala: Access to Archives Sheds Light on Case of Forced Disappearance


Justice Served in Guatemala: Testimonies from The National Security Archive & Benetech’s Human Rights Data Analysis Group


Martus: Software for Human Rights Groups


Our work has been used by truth commissions, international criminal tribunals, and non-governmental human rights organizations. We have worked with partners on projects on five continents.

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